Method · JTBD

JTBD ODI: Outcome-Driven Innovation and the Opportunity Score

Nine good ideas, budget for three: Outcome-Driven Innovation is the Jobs-to-be-Done variant that turns them into a ranked order. Its greatest value is often at the very bottom of the list.

What is Outcome-Driven Innovation?

Outcome-Driven Innovation is the Jobs-to-be-Done variant that prioritizes improvements by calculation. Anthony Ulwick developed the approach in the early 2000s. It breaks down the job customers get done with a product into individual desired outcomes and collects two values for each outcome:

  1. Importance: How important is this outcome to you?
  2. Satisfaction: How satisfied are you with it today?

Together they produce the opportunity score. It shows where an outcome is important and at the same time poorly served — and therefore where an improvement has the greatest effect.

When does ODI fit — and when does it not?

ODI fits when it is settled that you will improve something, but not what comes first. Typical occasions are the next product generation, the roadmap of a portal, or choosing from a sales team's wish list.

ODI does not fit when

  • you do not yet know which outcomes are relevant — then JTBD Story is the right place to start,
  • you want to understand why someone bought, abandoned or switched — that is what JTBD Switch is built for,
  • the question is the usability of an interface — that is the job of SUS and UEQ+.

How do you phrase desired outcomes?

As an outcome someone wants to achieve, without presupposing a solution. This is the hardest and most important part of the method.

Not like this (solution) But like this (outcome)
Larger dust container Empty the container without stirring up dust
Longer battery life Finish without recharging
Quick-release filter Clean the filter without taking the device apart

Three rules help:

  • One outcome per statement. “Vacuum quickly and quietly” is two outcomes.
  • From the user's point of view. Not what the product does, but what the person has achieved afterward.
  • Solution-neutral. An outcome must be achievable in more than one way. If you write the solution into the question, you only measure agreement with that solution.

How is the opportunity score calculated?

Importance plus the gap between importance and satisfaction, with a negative gap counted as zero.

Opportunity score = importance + max(importance − satisfaction, 0)

Importance and satisfaction are both on a scale from 0 to 10. In Ulwick's approach, this is the share of respondents who choose the top two levels on a five-point scale, divided by ten. The score therefore ranges from 0 to 20.

Outcome Importance Satisfaction Gap Opportunity score
A 9.2 2.5 6.7 15.9
B 8.0 5.0 3.0 11.0
C 8.0 8.5 0 (instead of −0.5) 8.0

Outcome A is important and poorly solved — that is where the opportunity lies. Outcome C is just as important as B but already very well served: further investment there achieves little.

As a rule of thumb, scores above 15 count as severely underserved and scores below 10 as already well served. If satisfaction is higher than importance, an outcome is overserved.

Example: The loudest idea internally ends up in sixth place

In the Handheld vacuum case study (in German), there are nine improvement ideas for the next device generation, and the budget covers three. 412 buyers rate nine outcomes:

Rank Outcome Opportunity score Assessment
1 Empty the container without stirring up dust 18.4 severely underserved
2 Clean the filter without taking the device apart 16.1 severely underserved
3 Vacuum under furniture without moving things 14.7 underserved
6 Finish without recharging (battery life) 8.9 already well solved

Longer battery life was the idea championed most loudly internally. Respondents consider it important — but are already satisfied. The bigger battery is put on hold, and with it about a third of the change budget. Dust-free emptying, ranked seventh of nine internally, becomes the first measure.

A second example from a B2B setting is the B2B customer portal case study (in German): 22 requests from sales, budget for four.

What are the limits of ODI?

  • The list of outcomes decides everything. If an important outcome is missing, it does not appear in any ranking. If the list is guesswork, the score only looks more precise than it is.
  • No causes. ODI shows where the gap is, not why. That takes an open question or a follow-up study.
  • No switching behavior. ODI does not answer why someone buys or drops off.
  • Effort per outcome. Each outcome costs two ratings. Long lists lengthen the questionnaire and reduce the care that goes into the responses.

How does JTBD ODI work in usabiq?

JTBD ODI is included in every plan, including Free Discovery, the free plan.

  • Scored without a language model. The opportunity score is calculated according to the method, and underserved needs are flagged.
  • Transparent intermediate values. Importance and satisfaction can be viewed individually for each outcome and — from Research Core — exported, not just the final result.
  • Additional open questions are analyzed separately. For ODI, AI theme detection does not run on the outcomes; it runs only for JTBD Switch, JTBD Story and the free-form questionnaire.
  • Segment comparison from Decision Pro: for example, the importance of an outcome by household type, with statistical confidence instead of colorful bars.
  • Decision Engine from Decision Pro: the ranking becomes a prioritized list of problems, opportunities and quick wins.

Sources and further reading

  • Anthony W. Ulwick: What Customers Want (2005), introduction of Outcome-Driven Innovation
  • Anthony W. Ulwick: Jobs to be Done — Theory to Practice (2016), basis of the opportunity score and outcome statements
  • Clayton M. Christensen et al.: Competing Against Luck (2016), Jobs-to-be-Done as a mental model

Worked example

JTBD ODI in 2 case studies.

  • Manufacturing · Product development

    “Which improvement to our handheld vacuum really makes a difference?”

    Nine ideas are on the table for the next generation — longer battery life, a quieter motor, a larger bin. Engineering and sales disagree, and the budget covers three.

    Emptying the bin without a cloud of dust is by far the largest unmet need. The much-debated battery life ranks sixth.

    JTBD ODI 412 buyers surveyed

    Case study (in German)
  • Mechanical engineering · B2B customer portal

    “Which feature do we build into the customer portal next?”

    The service portal for existing customers is to be expanded. The wish list from sales has 22 items; the annual budget covers four.

    Real-time spare-part availability beats every wish-list favorite; the hotly debated chat comes last.

    JTBD ODI 186 service customers surveyed

    Case study (in German)

Constructed example scenarios based on typical projects — no real customer data. The full case studies are currently available in German.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about JTBD ODI

How many outcomes belong in an ODI survey?

As many as participants can rate with focus — each outcome costs two ratings. The Handheld vacuum case study (in German) uses nine outcomes; together with household characteristics and one open question, that makes 19 questions and about four minutes to complete.

What is the difference between ODI and a feature survey?

A feature survey asks what people like — and gets “everything would be nice.” ODI asks about the outcome someone wants to achieve and about how satisfied they are with it today. That filters out what is important but already well solved, even though it would top every wish list.

What does “overserved” mean?

An outcome is overserved when satisfaction is higher than importance. More is being delivered there than customers need. That is not a success but a pointer to where effort can be saved or simplified.

When is ODI too early?

When you do not yet know which outcomes are relevant at all. In that case, start with JTBD Story or a free-form questionnaire and derive the list of outcomes from the responses.

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